Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 117.250069 129.718253 142.549257 156.712867 171.881261 187.611213 205.128932
2024-10-27 96.356756 114.650908 134.449241 157.348442 182.983115 210.677220 242.737131
2024-11-03 83.649231 106.460241 132.300580 163.438821 199.636368 240.088154 288.401836
2024-11-10 72.538400 98.464625 129.123119 167.475887 213.578609 266.633178 331.698668
2024-11-17 63.902335 92.170564 126.955317 171.961672 227.678939 293.436568 375.904112
2024-11-24 57.237306 87.398794 125.902819 177.257377 242.505117 321.210460 421.812916
2024-12-01 47.459902 77.303065 116.993478 171.706148 243.166071 331.353960 446.307762
2024-12-08 40.468286 70.106856 111.069519 169.266257 247.179613 345.282363 475.353770
2024-12-15 35.838165 65.690802 108.402363 170.717350 255.945336 365.107906 511.927057
2024-12-22 32.183531 62.262989 106.724684 173.201493 265.899852 386.460556 550.675194
2024-12-29 30.065069 60.954986 107.906574 179.565993 281.107164 414.832739 598.859468
2025-01-05 27.711772 58.969235 107.849567 184.006601 293.645671 439.815796 642.983168
2025-01-12 24.178448 54.659862 104.025128 182.877432 298.560703 455.030527 675.059846
2025-01-19 21.183737 50.907375 100.747976 182.310967 304.153850 471.220447 708.728920
2025-01-26 19.804409 49.933287 101.830294 188.335446 319.324296 500.760796 760.779845
2025-02-02 18.195127 48.308533 101.680304 192.369150 331.627140 526.527794 808.134145
2025-02-09 16.864540 47.048239 102.005819 197.071432 344.938202 553.851766 857.946515
2025-02-16 15.810456 46.212318 102.970081 202.766801 359.809273 583.578496 911.457693
2025-02-23 13.163978 41.574699 96.826479 196.551144 356.394543 587.204488 928.897000
2025-03-02 11.311781 38.368779 92.963787 193.806899 358.051608 597.948380 956.227651
2025-03-09 10.181031 36.661271 91.736088 195.380137 366.353941 618.348105 997.298758
2025-03-16 9.287861 35.388607 91.223645 198.104989 376.465508 641.490425 1042.499141
2025-03-23 8.904144 35.368000 93.148777 205.114538 393.498199 675.026823 1102.856554